The numbers King 48% and Mejias 46% is just the tip of the bad news iceberg for King.
We get more information on the poll by RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics.
District breakdown can be found here.
Bush disapproval in the district is 56%.
Bush won the district in 2004 with 52%.
Voter motivation in the race is stronger among Democrats (7.0) and Independents (7.6) than Republicans (6.6).
Mejias beats King in Certain Voters 49-43%.
Under party identification, Mejias gets 72% Dems, 25% Rep and 42% Ind.
King gets 69% Rep, 18% Dem and 51% Ind.
King is losing his base but still has an edge on independents.
Mejias has more of his base supporting him and draws more republicans tha king does Democrats which off-sets the independent vote.