The first tremor in the 3rd congressional district occured when Dave Mejias, a well-known and experienced Nassau County Legislator decided to run for Peter Kings job. King hasn't faced an opponenet quite like Mejias - a candidate who can beat him.
The second tremor occured when Mejias raised just over $200,000 in five weeks.
The force in the race started to build even more when justa week ago, Charlie Cook moved the race from the Solid Republican column. That was somewhat of a big move considering the district is supposed to be "safe."
Mejias is also making an impact with the progressive online community, appearing in a live chat on firedoglake.com, contributing on Daily Kos and gaining more and more attention of the same people who are driving the national progressive message.
Pressure started to build when just yesterday, the AFL-CIO gave Dave Mejias its endorsement.
This wasn't just a simple move, because King has always enjoyed strong union support despite the fact that his voting record for workers is very poor.
Now, the endorsement move is a bigger shake-up because the executive board had voted for a "no endorsement" in the race but the members voted to give the endorsement to Mejias. The rank and file have left Peter King. He cannot claim the blue collar bonafides he has in the past.
And now today comes the quake that will rock the race even more, Chuck Todd over at the National Journal has posted an updated House Race Ranking.
Todd writes "Our rankings continue to reflect a shift toward the Democrats, and even more significantly, a shift toward the Democrats in the Northeast. As the Lamont-Lieberman race demonstrated, there is apparently such a thing as an "angry suburbanite," and that could spell big trouble for Republican incumbents in the entire region."
For the first time, Kings district is listed.
Of all the House races, Kings is ranked as #45 for the likelihood to switch.
A formerly "safe" republican seat in an increasingly Democratic Long Island, is starting to tilt towards the Democrats.
King hasn't really campaigned for the past few election cycles, and it looks like that will have to change now. Mejias is making a real impact in a race that was long-thought to be a losing one for any Democrat.
There has been more movement in this race in the past two months than at any time for past races.
All this bad news for King will send him even further over the edge.