The second tremor occured when Mejias raised just over $200,000 in five weeks.
The force in the race started to build even more when justa week ago, Charlie Cook moved the race from the Solid Republican column. That was somewhat of a big move considering the district is supposed to be "safe."
Mejias is also making an impact with the progressive online community, appearing in a live chat on firedoglake.com, contributing on Daily Kos and gaining more and more attention of the same people who are driving the national progressive message.
Pressure started to build when just yesterday, the AFL-CIO gave Dave Mejias its endorsement.
This wasn't just a simple move, because King has always enjoyed strong union support despite the fact that his voting record for workers is very poor.
Now, the endorsement move is a bigger shake-up because the executive board had voted for a "no endorsement" in the race but the members voted to give the endorsement to Mejias. The rank and file have left Peter King. He cannot claim the blue collar bonafides he has in the past.
And now today comes the quake that will rock the race even more, Chuck Todd over at the National Journal has posted an updated House Race Ranking.
Todd writes "Our rankings continue to reflect a shift toward the Democrats, and even more significantly, a shift toward the Democrats in the Northeast. As the Lamont-Lieberman race demonstrated, there is apparently such a thing as an "angry suburbanite," and that could spell big trouble for Republican incumbents in the entire region."
For the first time, Kings district is listed.
Of all the House races, Kings is ranked as #45 for the likelihood to switch.
A formerly "safe" republican seat in an increasingly Democratic Long Island, is starting to tilt towards the Democrats.
King hasn't really campaigned for the past few election cycles, and it looks like that will have to change now. Mejias is making a real impact in a race that was long-thought to be a losing one for any Democrat.
There has been more movement in this race in the past two months than at any time for past races.
All this bad news for King will send him even further over the edge.
5 comments:
Out of 50 possible spots, Congressman King is number 45. This doesn't mean much. These aren't big shake-ups. Even if the Congressman needs to campaign for the election more so than he had for other the previous ones, the voters will just see why they elected Peter King in the first place. He's not one to be tread over lightly, not to mention if you put him side by side with Mejias, Peter King is just more likeable as a person. As we all know likeability goes a long way in an election. He'll continue to serve the 3rd district well. I do not understand how voters would choose to elect someone who does not have the same prestige and power in Congress as Peter King does. As Chairman of the House Homeland Security Committee Congressman King has gotten a lot done for his constituents and America. Just think, Mejias would be a freshman representative who would likely be put on the Science or Resources Committee in Congress... a lot of good that will do for the 3rd district.
What information does the Cook Report and National Journal use to base their lists on? Polling the district?
Wow, so much wrong in so few sentences.
It's the TOP 50 out of 435.
That means alot and also consider he was never considered vulnerable before.
Peter King is an obnoxious boor. He's proved himself to be a short-fused nutjob.
What "prestige and power"???????
Since he became commitee chairman, NY has LOST millions and millions of dollars.
Before he became chairman he was just a back-bencher barely able to get anything done and had no respect from his fellow members. Tom Delay of all people said King can't be trusted.
Oh and since it wil most likely be a Democratically controlled congress next term, King will be in the minority.
King has done very little for the district and has a very weak legislative record. If it wasn't for bills to name post offices and government buildings, King's bills could fit on a fortune cookie fortune.
Ummm, if J actually looked at past elections, King's neighbor to the west, Carolyn McCarthy, had the same thing happen to her in 2004. It went from "Solid Democrat" to "Leans Democrat" when she ran against Garner. Last time I checked, she won by over twenty points in 2004. Also, where's the talk of the Mejias-commissioned poll which found him down 50-34 over the incumbent?
Umm.. the voter registration in the 4th CD leans R just like the 3rd.
The fact is that the 3rd with King has never left "solid" territory.
It has now.
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